It certainly
varies from sector to sector and from year to year. Overall, I
would say that the French seed companies haven't managed too
badly during the last few years.
The concerns
that are expressed today have more to do with certain
political mechanisms, specifically the common agricultural
policies of the EU. This is particularly true for field seed
companies whose bottom lines are affected not only on market
conditions and business relationships but also by political
decisions taken way at the top. While it is true that we can
do our best to prevent our politicians from making decision
that go against our interests, we are never safe from
political decisions that can have a strong negative effect on
some of our companies.
This is an ever
present threat, tied to systems that have been set up some
time ago to regulate agricultural markets and which can create
significant disturbances in the market place when they are
questioned and modified. For instance, the current WTO
negotiations are liable to bring about fairly fundamental
changes. Similarly, the new US Farm Bill is hard to swallow
for other countries because the massive amounts which it
injects into US agriculture stack the rules in favor of US
farmers. The Americans have passed this bill in the strong
belief that US agriculture is fundamental to their economy and
cannot be jeopardized. By so doing, they distorted the rules
while at the same time reproaching the Europeans and others
for subsidizing their own markets.
This is a real
strong arm negotiation between large agricultural areas, and
our concern is that Europe will lack the political willpower
to fight tooth and nail to protect and preserve what is and
remains one of the key strengths of Europe, which is a key
agricultural producer. This is certainly cause for much
concern. |