R.B.
HALABY
Chairman
AgriCapital Corporation
USA
RB Halaby, the founder of
AgriCapital, has over thirty-five years of investment banking,
investment management and engineering experience. He holds S.B.
and S.M. degrees in engineering from the Massachusetts Institute
of Technology and an M.B.A. from Stanford University.
May 2002
What does the
seed industry look like today from your vantage point?
After a decade of being buffeted
around by external factors, including technology streaming
in at lightning speed and ill-conceived roll-ups, the seed
industry appears to have entered into a state of
"equilibrium."
Having said that, I don't think
seedsmen should let their guard down. Periods of equilibrium
are typically ended by unforeseen developments.
Give us a big
picture on consolidations within the industry during the
last decade. What is the next ten-year cycle is likely to
look like, and what will drive it?
There were two main drivers of the merger mania of the
80’s and 90’s. Technology companies were looking to be
totally integrated along the value chain, and
financially driven companies were looking to roll-up
certain sectors of the seed industry to benefit from
economies of scale.
Some acquisitions worked better than others. There
are two main reasons for acquisitions that did not work:
- The acquirer, driven by fear or ignorance, paid too much
for the property. This is especially hurtful when the
acquirer is highly leveraged.
- Integrating the acquired company proved to be more
difficult in reality than on paper, often because the
"people" component of an acquisition was underestimated.
Looking forward, I am hopeful that future M&A activities
will be driven more by rational financial and strategic
considerations than many in the past. I also see more
creative forms of alliances than simply outright
acquisitions.
Despite
consolidations, our industry is still fragmented into large,
medium and small companies. How are companies in each these
three major categories faring these days?
The seed industry will never consolidate into one big
monolith. In my opinion there are two reasons for this:
- A huge entity would implode, driven by internal (bloat
and over-confidence) or external reasons (Government or
populist pressures.) From Day Zero, no one has been able
to corner the market in agriculture.
- You still need a local presence. "American
Agribusiness" is the sum total of innumerable bits and
pieces, all with differing needs. After all is said and
done, to meet the farmer’s needs, you have to be able to
operate efficiently and intelligently at the lowest
level.
Among American agronomic seed companies, a rough
generalization is that the smaller to middle sized are doing
well. The leaders are doing well. In between, there is an
"awkward" level of companies that appear more challenged
than others.
Apart from
biotech, what other technologies do you see having
significant impact on the seed industry, and what changes
are they bringing about?
When people think of technologies affecting the seed
business, they tend to think of technologies that are
directly related to seed such as genetically engineering
an input trait, etc. I think one should also take into
account technologies affecting other parts of the food
chain that might impact the seed business. For instance,
what technological changes are taking place in animal
nutrition that might impact the type of corn or soybeans
needed? This is one reason we have invited David
Bossman, the President of the American Feed Industry
Association to address the ASTA Convention in Boston.
In the long run, such technological developments will
probably have as big an impact on the seed business as
technologies within the industry.
What is more
important these days for a seed company CEO: to be a good
manager? Or to have the vision to guide the company into an
uncertain, technology-laden future?
The ideal seed company CEO will have one eye on the
wheel and one eye on the stars.
That’s not an easy thing to do.
Focus too much on the stars and you will find yourself in
the ditch. Focus too much on the wheel and you will find
yourself running round in circles.
You work
closely with seed company managers in many countries. What's
on their minds these days, what are their worries and hopes?
With the cooling of the merger mania and with many
companies feeling secure with their sourcing of
technology and genetics, many companies are becoming
much more focused on micro issues (what’s our marketing
campaign for the year) than broad-brush macro ones.
I think this is a healthy respite.
Do you find
that Asian or European seed industry managers operate
differently from their North American counterparts?
There are two types of people in the World: Seedsmen and
Non-Seedsmen. And there is so much more that unites
Seedsmen, of whatever nationality, than divides them.
For instance, with few exceptions, Seedsmen operate at
the highest level of integrity. They have to: What’s
more important to the farmer than the seed?
It is hard to generalize, but North American Seedsmen
perhaps have an easier time coping with change. Having
said that, I have a great deal of respect for the Dutch:
They have an impressive way of staying the course
long-term.
I had a great friend, the late Arthur Davis, an attorney
and former Mayor of Des Moines. He made a reference once
that Seedsmen, like Farmers, are born of the same mother.
Where do you
see the seed industry heading in the next 5 to 10 years?
It is hard to tell, but I think the Seed Industry will
have an easier time coping with change and whatever
unforeseen shocks it will be subjected to if it views
itself as a key part of an integrated food system,
rather than just a small stand-alone sector of
agribusiness.
The Seedsman has to remember, the customer is not the
farmer buying the seed but the ultimate consumer. And
the more he or she knows what is happening along the
food chain, the more likely he or she is to succeed with
having the right products.
What
important lessons have you learned during your years in the
seed industry?My
advice to my colleagues at AgriCapital is "Don’t tell me
what you know, tell me what you have learned." With all
the change that takes place every day, knowledge,
defined as static information in a data bank, is a fast
depreciating commodity.
At AgriCapital we do work across the food chain, and
understanding the seed business is integral to
understanding agribusiness. "First the Seed."
I find the typical Seedsman to be intellectually generous.
Ask nicely, be open with your agenda, and try not to bluff
the party you are speaking to, and he or she will generally
be most forthcoming. There are no dumb questions if asked
honestly.
Could you
please tell us about an individual in the seed industry whom
you have found particularly inspirational?
Over the years I have been
blessed with many friends and mentors in the seed business
who have contributed so much to whatever success AgriCapital
has been able to achieve in the past twenty years.
One person in particular who has been very helpful to me is
Don Funk of Channel Bio. He probably has as good a feel for
what makes a farmer buy a kernel of seed as anyone I have
ever met. I have known him some 17 years and have seen him
operate in good times and bad. He has an uncanny ability,
like Kipling advises in the poem "If" to "Meet with both
triumph and disaster" and to "treat both imposters just the
same."
RB Halaby can be reached at
halaby@agricapital.com |