Rome, Italy
March 22, 2006
Source:
The Global Crop Diversity Trust
THE GENETICS OF WATER
Supply, Demand,
Conflict
A recent cover article by Fred Pearce
in the New Scientist illustrates agriculture's profligate use of
water in a manner we can all visualize: "Every teaspoonful of
sugar in your coffee requires 50 cups of water to grow it,
according to Pearce. “Growing the coffee itself requires 140
litres of water, or 1120 cups.” A kilo of rice, moreover,
requires an astonishing 3-5,000 litres to grow. That’s 2-3
Olympic-size swimming pools per ton. According to the New
Scientist, “our demand for water has turned us into vampires,
draining the world of its lifeblood.” Strong language.
The global signs of an impending
water crisis, however, could not be much clearer. Consider the
following:
-
Freshwater consumption rose twice as fast as population
growth in the 20th century. Today, we grow twice as much
food as a generation ago, but we use three times more water
to do so.
-
Approximately 70% of all water used by humans is for
irrigating crops. Groundwater supplies in major agricultural
regions are being overdrawn, depleted at a much faster rate
than their replenishment by rains. As the New Scientist puts
it, “Each aquifer has its own countdown to destruction. As
each bubble bursts, it will undermine the world’s ability to
feed itself.”
-
Drought, such as that being experienced today in East
Africa, and recently experienced in Australia and the USA,
prompts even greater tapping of stored supplies while
dramatically reducing the rate of replacement. The incidence
of drought may be increasing. Furthermore, the rise in
surface temperatures, and the prospect of further warming,
will put additional stress on crops and further increase
demands for water.
By 2025, 1.8 billion people will live
in a situation of absolute water shortage. Fully two-thirds of
the world’s population will live in what FAO describes as a
situation of water stress.
Hottest Dozen Years on
Record
(since 1880)*
|
Rank |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
|
Year |
2005 |
1998 |
2002 |
2003 |
2004 |
2001 |
1997 |
1990 |
1995 |
1999 |
2000 |
2001 |
*Source:
Union of Concerned Scientists
Population growth,
urban expansion and increasing industrialization will intensify
competition for water supplies and increase the likelihood of
violent conflict. Already, major powers are warning that climate
change will fuel future conflict, pointing to lack of water as a
contributing factor in tragedies such as that unfolding in
Darfur. More than 200 major river basins in the world - major
sources of water for agriculture - are shared by two or more
countries. Think of the Nile that flows through some of the
poorest and driest countries in the world: Ethiopia, Eritrea,
Burundi, Rwanda, Zaire, Kenya, Tanzania, Uganda, Sudan and
Egypt.
Exacerbating this tension is the need
to increase food production to satisfy growing populations,
which in turn will require yet more water. Or, alternatively,
much better use of available supplies.
Responses and
Resources
Two options are immediately evident:
agronomic and genetic. Changing common farming practices on a
meaningful scale is neither easy nor quick. Producing “more crop
per drop” appears more immediately promising. “The greatest
gains in water productivity can be attributed to crop breeding
efforts,” according to a publication from the Comprehensive
Assessment of Water Management in Agriculture, co-sponsored by
Ramsar, FAO, the CGIAR and the CBD. “Crop varieties that yield
more with the same amount of water, or shorter duration
varieties that consume less water, increase productivity of
water. Drought-resistant varieties help to stabilize yields, and
reduce risks in drought-prone rainfed areas.”
Plants employ a wide range of tactics
in response to water and heat stress. Some have extensive root
systems, while others develop dense leaf canopies to shade the
surrounding soil. Some employ physiological mechanisms to store
moisture, while others mature early to reduce risk of water
shortage. Plant breeders are searching genebank collections
today for traits such as these.
At least two major global efforts are
now underway to find solutions to agriculture's water crisis:
-
The "Generation Challenge
Programme" brings together national agricultural research
systems, university institutes and CGIAR Centers to generate
a set of genetic resources, scientific tools and
technologies with a focus on those addressing the problem of
drought. The Trust and the Generation Challenge Programme
have agreed to collaborate to identify and promote the
identification of promising traits in genebank collections.
-
The "Challenge Programme on Water
and Food" likewise mobilizes multiple partners in a global
effort to identify and develop genetic resources with
water-efficient, high-yield potential.
There is cause for optimism. In
southern Africa, farmers have planted CIMMYT’s new
drought-resistant maize on 250,000 hectares. The African Rice
Center’s “NERICA” rice, with improved ability to thrive in harsh
environments, is currently planted on 100,000 hectares. Working
with ICARDA-supplied germplasm, national research programmes
have developed and released dozens of drought-resistant
varieties since 2000. Research institutes across Australia are
releasing drought tolerant wheat, sorghum, lupins and other
crops in response to the worst droughts in the country’s history
and what scientists at Melbourne’s Monash University contend is
the possibility of “permanent drought” due to changing wind and
rainfall patterns.
Today, scientists and farmers contend
with a triple threat – the depletion of accumulated water
resources, drought, and rising temperatures. Around the world,
in country after country, researchers are screening genebank
collections for natural traits to help crops and societies
respond. The Global Crop Diversity Trust is working to ensure
that those genebank collections are well conserved, healthy and
complete, because what we save, or don’t, will shape
agriculture’s future and our own.
Our greatest water resource may turn
out to be the genepool.
TO LEARN MORE ABOUT THE TOPIC
HAPPENING AT THE GLOBAL CROP
DIVERSITY TRUST
“The Genetics of Water” is the first
installment in what will become a regular series of brief
“thought pieces” produced by the Trust. Some pieces will be
historical in nature; others scientific; others more eclectic
and harder to pigeon-hole. All will explore one or more of the
countless ways in which crop diversity relates to or touches
upon the life and future of this planet and its people. We hope
you will come to enjoy them. Let us know if you do; or even if
you don’t.
On February 15, Kenya became the 22nd
country to accede to the agreement to establish the Global Crop
Diversity Trust when its Minister of Agriculture, Hon. Kipruto
Arap Kirwa, signed the document at a formal ceremony at FAO. For
a list of other countries that have signed the agreement, and
for photos of the signing ceremonies, visit our website at
www.croptrust.org. And that reminds me: in the coming weeks,
our website will get an overhaul, courtesy of the Syngenta
Foundation. Several design studios will submit proposals to the
Trust with the winner getting the Foundation-funded job of
implementing their design. Stay tuned!
The Trust is providing
financial support to the Vavilov Institute in Russia to secure
their valuable collections of forage and legume seeds. The
Institute, in cooperation with countries in Central Asia, will
plant, harvest and then return new seeds to the genebank of more
than 12,000 different samples. Without such “renewing,” seeds
eventually lose the ability to germinate and die. Left
unchecked, the sample and its diversity will eventually be lost,
permanently. Sergey Alexanian of the Vavilov Institute, and Ken
Street of the International Center for Agricultural Research in
the Dry Areas (ICARDA) visited Rome to review progress and plan
the next three years of this project.
Fernando Gerbasi, chair of the
Interim Panel of Eminent Experts (the Trust’s interim board) and
I are writing a series of short monthly letters about the Trust
– its governance, mission, vision and funding – in the run-up to
the first meeting of the Governing Body of the International
Treaty on Plant Genetic Resources for Food and Agriculture. The
Governing Body will meet in Madrid in June, and will consider
matters of direct concern to the Trust, including a Relationship
Agreement and the process for appointing four members to the
Trust’s future Executive Board. |