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Agriculture & Agri-Food Canada market outlook report: Corn - Situation and outlook

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Ottawa, Canada
June 22, 2009

Source: Agriculture & Agri-Food Canada
Market outlook report

For 2008-2009 to-date, US and Canadian corn prices remain strong as lower production and strong demand for ethanol offset a sharp rise in carry-in stocks and reduced livestock feeding. World carry-out stocks are expected to rise while holding steady in the United States (US). World trade in corn is expected to decline sharply led by lower US exports and weaker EU import demand.

For 2009-2010, the price outlook for corn is optimistic as US production holds steady on higher yields and usage rises on the continued expansion of the ethanol sector. Canadian corn production is forecast to decrease marginally as a slight rise in planted area is more than offset by lower yields. Imports of corn are anticipated to rise slightly to service the growing ethanol sector in Eastern Canada. US corn prices are forecast to increase marginally with Canadian prices pressured by the rally in the Canadian dollar. Over the medium term, North American corn production is projected to grow slowly on stable planted area and higher yields. This issue of the Market Outlook Report examines the situation and outlook for corn.

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