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Look to Central Asia and the Far East
Editorial views by Jean-Louis Duval, JLDuval Conseil, France

The major Western markets are under pressure of low prices and the competition is very hard. Farmers’ investments decrease.

After the development of the Chinese and Indian markets, but with limitation of trade and intellectual property protection, could the “old USSR” - the new CIE - be a new place for development?

New markets are being created in this agricultural area with new investments.

Yes, we have to look to the east; something is going on there. Everyone knows about the agricultural potential of the great plains of Ukraine. What is less known is the potential of Central Asia: Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Uzbekistan and Tajikistan - 20 million ha of arable land. During the time of the Soviet Union, this was the seed warehouse of the USSR and a garden for the production of vegetables and fruits.

A few years ago, some of us took a chance and risked the "adventure". But those were dangerous times: crops grown under contract disappeared on the day of harvest, genetic resources were "hijacked", and we were surprised to learn that Moldavia was the leading country for the “creation of varieties”.

Recently, things changed. Some of these countries have become members of the WTO, started enforcing intellectual property protection laws, and have become UPOV members - or are in the application process. The seed laws are being updated and have started to be enforced. National catalogues are being set up. Certification and, therefore, control systems are reappearing. Neighbouring countries are discussing the advantages of creating common catalogues and harmonised certification systems so that seed can circulate freely.

It is important to be aware that a debate is currently going on in these countries (for example in Russia) regarding the best model for a seed master plan: the American system - no registration, no catalogue, no certification - or the European one - fully regulated.

My personal vision is that there is no real need for catalogues or certification for vegetables. However, when it comes to open-pollinated plants, catalogues and certification allow for a better dynamism in the market and the varietal creation, and a real protection of plant breeders’ rights.

Between these two groups, there are a lot of species upon which the debate remains open.

For the companies who try to develop their activities in the Central Asian countries, this type of choice is not trivial.

Are the new political situations, like the “orange revolution” in Ukraine and, more recently, the "tulip revolution” in Kyrgyzstan, signs of a political renaissance that will allow the existing potential of the countries in the Confederation of Independent States to develop? I think so.

And even farther east lie India and China, where there are no longer any questions about development, where growth is extraordinarily dynamic, and where the presence of new investors is already being felt.

Jean-Louis Duval can be reached at jlduval@wanadoo.fr

August 2005

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