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A stragegy-changing cycle?
Editorial views by Dean Cavey, Partner, Verdant Partners LLC, an investment banking and consulting firm focused on the global crop genetics industry.

The global seed industry has seen dramatic changes over the past 30 years and especially over the past decade.  Technological development has been the primary driver of these changes.  Technology has also fueled several business cycles in which seed industry acquisition activity has waxed and waned.  It appears that we are now in the midst of a new cycle that promises to be interesting and perhaps “strategy-changing” for many participants in the global seed industry – especially those involved in the major field crops where technology has had its greatest impact.

Starting in the 1970’s, research-driven multi-national companies saw the potential impact of biotechnology on agriculture.  The result was a series of acquisitions by companies such as Sandoz, British Petroleum, ICI, Upjohn, Dow Chemical and others.  It could be argued that these “pioneers” were just a bit ahead of their time.  They invested in research and in delivery systems before the technology had been fully developed and commercialized.  Since that time, many of these early investors have changed strategy and exited the industry from a technology and seed perspective.

The development and commercial introduction of important input traits, such as insect resistance and herbicide tolerance, set off another round of mergers and acquisitions in the mid to late 1990’s.  This led to the current structure whereby the industry is dominated, in terms of market share, by major international entities such as Dupont, Syngenta, Monsanto, Groupe Limagrain, KWS, Dow AgroSciences and others.

Syngenta AG’s recent acquisition of GA 21, the Golden Harvest Group, and its pending acquisition of Garst Seed Company and other elements of Advanta BV, have fueled speculation that Syngenta, Monsanto and DuPont/Pioneer will dominate technology and germplasm to such an extent that it will lead to the demise of many of the independent seed companies and change the industry structure as we know it today.  I disagree with this view.

Over the past few years, many independent seed companies have enjoyed strong sales growth.  Companies like Agventure, Inc., Beck’s Superior Hybrids, Channel Bio Corporation, the Golden Harvest Group, and Wyffels Hybrids are thought to fall into this grouping.  AgReliant Genetics, LLC, although owned by international companies, has also seen strong internal growth.  The growth and success enjoyed by the above-mentioned companies, to name a few, is based on competitive products, judicious use of new traits and seed treatments, timely and relevant information and strong customer service.  This has been the primary formula for success in the seed industry for many years and there is little reason to think it is going to change anytime soon.

In my view, the recent acquisitions by Syngenta may ultimately position them to offer interesting alternatives to the industry in terms of traits/genetics/seed treatment packages.  If this is the case, then this will be a benefit to farmers and to those who are best positioned to service the needs of those farmers.  This allows those seed companies, whether small or large, family or corporate owned, domestic or international to better compete as long as they continue to stick to the fundamentals of success as mentioned above.

I believe, however, that these latest industry developments have set in motion another interesting cycle that will be characterized by heightened interest in acquisitions by those companies who see the opportunities and are bold enough to act on them.  This cycle could remind us of what the industry experienced in the 1990’s as companies vie for market share and market positioning to be able to take advantage of the next generation of technology and the traits that emanate from that technology.

Dean Cavey can be contacted at deancavey@verdantpartners.com

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