Australia
February 14, 2006
Australian Oilseeds
Federation - Crop Report February 2006 (excerpts)
Sunflowers 2005/06
Our
estimates have been revised down by around 10% on last month due
to estimates for the late plant in Central Queensland being
scaled back. This is a result of low prices and continuing dry
conditions. There is still a few weeks of the planting window
remaining and changes to either the price or season outlook
would enable an
increase in plantings.
Despite this, the crop is estimated to produce close to 100,000
tonnes which is up considerably on previous
years. The crop is estimated to be 80% mono, 15% poly and 5%
confectionary/ birdseed.
The early crop harvest is pretty
much complete in northern NSW. As reported last month, extreme
heat and lack of rain during flowering and grain fill, impacted
yields and quality. Test weight and oil contents have generally
been disappointing with oil for mono’s averaging around 36%.
There were some delays to
harvesting in the Moree area due to significant storm rain
during January. There is a small amount of late crop planted in
this region, estimated at around 1000 hectares.
Harvest is underway on the
Liverpool Plains, with harvest expected to drag out for some
time due to the wet planting conditions experienced last spring
that spread sowing over a number of weeks. The crop has been
impacted by the hot conditions and also the high Rutherglen bug
pressure.
The majority of late crop on the
Liverpool Plains was sown late December/ early January and is
between 8-10 leaf stage and bud initiation, although a small
amount is flowering. The latest sown (irrigated) crops are just
emerging out of the ground. Rutherglen pressure appears to have
lessened. However, it has generally been very dry and the late
crop will need significant in crop rain to secure average or
better yields.
Soybeans 2005/06
The
2005/06 crop has been revised up by 15% on the previous months
planting intentions.
The crops in north Queensland are
progressing quite well and there has been good rainfall on the
coastal regions. However, the Lockyer and Fassifern valleys
continue to experience dry conditions. Plantings were better
than expected on the Downs and crops are in good condition.
The area planted has been revised
upwards on the North Coast of NSW, however, some crops have gone
in late
due to the delayed sugar harvest. There may be some upside yield
potential in this region. There has been little
change in other regions of NSW and Victoria.
Cottonseed 2005/06
The cotton crop is forecast to be
2.5 million bales, although there may be some upside potential.
This should see
cottonseed production at 760-800,000 tonnes. |