Broadbeach, Queensland
August 10, 2006
The major change in cotton trading over the last few years has
been the emergence of China as the world’s largest cotton market
and the largest market for Australian cotton, reports Bob
DallÁlba, chairman of the Australian Cotton Shippers
Association.
Addressing the ACGRA Cotton Conference on the Gold Coast, Mr
DallÁlba said in 2004 China took 15 per cent of Australia’s
crop, but in 2005 exports to
China
were over 1 million bales or 36 per cent of production.
“China is expected to import a record 20 million bales in the
current marketing year, with total cotton consumption estimated
at 51 million bales or almost 1 million bales per week. It is
likely that China will be Australia’s most important market for
the foreseeable future,” he said.
He noted that some mills in
Japan,
Korea, Indonesia and Thailand have, over the years, paid a
premium of US 4cents/lb for Australian high grade cotton versus
Fibremax US varieties, and US 7-9cents/lb premium versus
Brazilian cotton in this current year. “We need to develop that
same loyalty to our product in China,” he said.
Mr DallÁlba believes customers buy Australian cotton
because Australia is the only country that can land cotton in
major markets within 2-3 weeks of letters of credit being
opened; because the percentage of bales contaminated by foreign
matter is lower than for most of its competitors; and because
seed breeders have been able to keep pace with the increased
fibre specifications demanded by customers.
“The real issue we have now is micronaire and the fact that the
percentage of our cotton falling in the premium micronaire range
has fluctuated widely in the last six years. Although we can
blame climatic factors, high mic provides our competitors in
Brazil and the US with opportunities to replace Australian
cotton in established markets.”
He said the combination of drought and low cotton prices has
changed the market dynamics where growers now wait until late in
the year of delivery to fix prices. Merchants are then
restricted to selling significant volumes when growers are
prepared to sell.
“This change has created periods where our spinning mill
customers are unable to purchase Australian cotton or only able
to purchase it at extremely high prices, providing ready made
access for competitor growth.”
He praised the commitment of Australian growers to Best
Management Practice (BMP) and said shippers have long supported
the need for a similar program beyond the farm gate.
“In the future, I am confident that our plant breeders,
researchers and agronomists will develop varieties and growing
techniques that will make Australian cotton less variable, and
fulfil the fibre characteristics required by our spinning mill
customers.
“Building on our earlier plant breeding success, the likely
availability of new elite cotton varieties like Sicala 350B
presents us with an opportunity to produce an Australian cotton
that really is superior to our long staple upland competition,”
he concluded. |