Australia
September 2, 2005
As on-farm storage, and the associated aeration, cooling and
drying, become increasingly popular across the Australian grains
industry, many growers wonder whether such a system suits their
particular farm enterprise.
Backed by the Grains Research
and Development Corporation (GRDC), Queensland Department of
Primary Industries and Fisheries (QDPI&F) economists Jim Page
and Rod Strahan have developed a decision-support package that
will help them do it.
According to Rod Strahan, the “Storing Dollars” computer program
will do more than allow growers and their to work out the
financial costs and benefits of drying grain and using aerated
storage on-farm.
Rod says “Storing Dollars” can also analyse risk, showing the
chances of the storage and drying activities being financially
successfully for a particular farm.
Grain storage might be of little benefit during dry harvests but
could pay for itself quite quickly if wet harvest conditions are
experienced.
The financial benefits of storing and drying grain come from
reducing yield and quality losses, the ability to blend grain to
achieve a higher price and the opportunity to store grain to
take advantage of rising market prices.
Rod says grain drying and storage capacity can be particularly
beneficial in higher rainfall cropping areas like the eastern
Darling Downs of Queensland and the Liverpool Plains of NSW,
where there is a higher risk of weather damage and where winter
and summer cropping allow greater use of storage capacity.
However some farmers might be surprised by the effects of small
price and yield changes on the profitability of a farm storage
system.
“Storing Dollars” lets growers incorporate their own estimates
of yield, yield reliability and market prices, rather than
generic numbers, with the information then used to calculate the
probability of a profitable result for a particular farm.
Once the data is entered into the computer model, the grower or
consultant can determine the impact of management decisions
simply by changing any of the variables, like the impact of
holding grain and selling sometime in the future.
The program considers capital and operating costs, yield,
seasonal variation and market prices to provide a 10-year
profitability estimate for an appropriately sized storage and
drying system.
In the end, though, Rod stresses that again it is the case of
“the nut behind the wheel” for grain storage to be profitable.
Changes in harvest management and marketing practices are needed
to achieve the benefits to make storage a viable investment.
Rod says that. while the team that produced
“Storing Dollars” is confident the program is grower friendly,
team members will liaise with early purchasers to check that it
really is so.
The “Storing Dollars” CD
costs $220, plus postage of $10.30, from the QDPI&F Bookshop at
www.dpi.qld.gov.au/shop or the Call Centre on 132523 or 1800
816 541. |