Urbana, Illinois
September 1, 2005
While the human toll of Hurricane Katrina in New
Orleans and the Gulf Coast area is tragic, there are economic
consequences as well for Illinois and Midwestern farmers, said a
University of Illinois
Extension marketing specialist.
"It is my understanding that the Port of New Orleans is closed.
There is no electricity and they can't get ships in or out,"
said Darrel Good. "This is a major port for U.S. corn and
soybean exports and the impact, particularly, for corn could be
significant."
Although no soybeans can leave the port, this is not the time of
year when exports are the heaviest, Good noted.
"This time of year, about three to five million bushels are
shipped each week but later in the fall, especially as we get to
the heart of the harvest season, the total jumps to 25 to 30
million bushels each week.
"From a buyer's standpoint, there are other places to get
soybeans now with adequate supplies in South America. U.S.
producers will lose a little but the market will go on."
With corn, however, the impact is immediate and dramatic.
"Corn is the real story in terms of agricultural impact," said
Good. "Upwards of 35 million bushels of corn are exported from
the United States each week, most going out of the Gulf. That
trade has come to a screeching halt. And this will have
reverberations all the way up the river system."
Because there is no place for the corn to go, farmers who are
seeking cash bids for their corn up and down the rivers system
that feeds the Port of New Orleans, find themselves with "just
awful prices," said Good. "Cash bids have just collapsed. Nobody
wants to buy corn they can't ship and sell."
Many Illinois corn producers are facing a double-whammy.
"The areas in our state that were hardest hit by the
drought--from Peoria on north--are the same ones that rely
heavily upon the Illinois and Mississippi rivers to sell their
corn," said Good. "Their corn was damaged by a drought and now
their harvest faces low prices because the shipping system is
disrupted."
It is difficult to predict when the Port of New Orleans will
re-open based on the limited information coming out of the
hurricane-devastated area.
"The Port operators may be able to get the electrical system
restored but the real problem becomes one of traffic. There may
well be a significant amount of damage and debris," said Good.
"Some are saying it could be a month before the Port is
functioning. It seems to me that if they could get it going that
soon, they'd be doing pretty well."
Good fears that producers may face a difficult harvest season as
nature's catastrophe plays out in the farm economy.
"The key to restoring service may be getting the levee on the
lake repaired," he said. "Then, they can start pumping out the
city and begin rebuilding."
In the meantime, Illinois and Midwestern producers can basically
only watch and wait, he noted. |