Melbourne, Victoria, Australia
July 21, 2003
AWB Limited
has increased Estimated Pool Returns (EPRs) for some of the 2003
pay grades, made adjustments to the soon-to-be-finalised 2001
Pool and left unchanged all 2002 EPRs in this week's pool
revision.
Estimated returns for some 2003 milling pay grades are up $5 per
tonne, taking APW to $202/t (FOB, GST exclusive) and APH to
$227.50/t. There has been no change to 2003 EPRs for ASWN or
durum pay grades.
Forecasts for a large world corn crop have seen prices for
competing feed grains decline and the spread between milling and
feed wheat widen. Reflecting this trend, AWB has reduced the EPR
for 2003 Feed pay grade by $10/t.
General Manager AWB National Pools, Sarah Scales, said the wheat
market had rallied recently, particularly late last week.
"Forecasts for US wheat production continue to rise, but at the
same time, the market is seeing better prospects for exports -
which have previously been stagnant - and this could lead to a
reduced stocks position in the US," Ms Scales said.
"Elsewhere in the world, we have seen production forecasts
downgraded in the EU and Eastern Europe, and there are some
concerns over dry conditions for the Canadian crop.
"This has contributed to some improvement in US futures which we
have been able to incorporate in the 2003 AWB National Pool," Ms
Scales said.
AWB has also made adjustments to the 2001 AWB National Pool,
lifting APW, APH and AH by $2.50/t and both ASF1 (Soft) and ASWN
by $3/t.
With the 2001 AWB National Pool due to be finalised by end July,
this will be the last official update for that Pool. However,
EPRs are subject to closing adjustments when the Pool is
finalised.
The next Pool update will be August 4th at 4pm. |